Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000862 0.000896 0.000931 0.000969 0.001009 0.001050 0.001097
2025-10-12 0.000801 0.000851 0.000903 0.000962 0.001028 0.001098 0.001179
2025-10-19 0.000755 0.000816 0.000882 0.000958 0.001045 0.001141 0.001256
2025-10-26 0.000715 0.000784 0.000859 0.000949 0.001054 0.001173 0.001321
2025-11-02 0.000688 0.000764 0.000848 0.000951 0.001073 0.001216 0.001398
2025-11-09 0.000659 0.000738 0.000829 0.000940 0.001076 0.001239 0.001451
2025-11-16 0.000633 0.000715 0.000810 0.000930 0.001078 0.001258 0.001499
2025-11-23 0.000623 0.000710 0.000813 0.000944 0.001109 0.001315 0.001598
2025-11-30 0.000608 0.000699 0.000807 0.000947 0.001126 0.001353 0.001674
2025-12-07 0.000588 0.000680 0.000791 0.000935 0.001123 0.001366 0.001715
2025-12-14 0.000568 0.000661 0.000773 0.000921 0.001116 0.001371 0.001745
2025-12-21 0.000553 0.000647 0.000761 0.000914 0.001117 0.001388 0.001792
2025-12-28 0.000527 0.000618 0.000731 0.000882 0.001085 0.001358 0.001771
2026-01-04 0.000515 0.000608 0.000723 0.000878 0.001091 0.001381 0.001828
2026-01-11 0.000504 0.000598 0.000715 0.000876 0.001097 0.001405 0.001887
2026-01-18 0.000492 0.000586 0.000704 0.000868 0.001097 0.001418 0.001932
2026-01-25 0.000484 0.000579 0.000700 0.000870 0.001109 0.001450 0.002006
2026-02-01 0.000472 0.000568 0.000689 0.000861 0.001105 0.001458 0.002044
2026-02-08 0.000461 0.000556 0.000678 0.000851 0.001101 0.001465 0.002078
2026-02-15 0.000459 0.000557 0.000683 0.000864 0.001128 0.001521 0.002199
2026-02-22 0.000453 0.000552 0.000680 0.000866 0.001141 0.001554 0.002283
2026-03-01 0.000443 0.000541 0.000669 0.000856 0.001134 0.001558 0.002315
2026-03-08 0.000432 0.000529 0.000657 0.000844 0.001123 0.001553 0.002332